{"id":10177,"date":"2015-09-21T11:38:28","date_gmt":"2015-09-21T10:38:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/?p=10177"},"modified":"2015-09-21T14:23:28","modified_gmt":"2015-09-21T13:23:28","slug":"danger-will-robinson-internet-capacity-crunch-in-8-years-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2015\/09\/danger-will-robinson-internet-capacity-crunch-in-8-years-time.html","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Danger Will Robinson&#8221; &#8211; Internet Capacity Crunch in 8 Years Time"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Professor Andrew Ellis of Aston University\u2019s School of Engineering and Applied Science has once again warned that the Internet &#8220;<em>could be on the brink &#8230; of a capacity crunch<\/em>&#8220;, which might force ISPs to throttle your broadband and it could happen within the next 8 years. Best get that tinfoil hat.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The warning is largely a repeat of the same comments that were made earlier this year (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2015\/05\/experts-fear-uk-electricity-and-fibre-optic-capacity-shortage-to-hit-internet.html\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>) and there is often a small semblance of truth to such remarks, although they usually make the incorrect assumption that the industry won&#8217;t adapt or evolve to resolve it.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bq1\"><p><strong>Professor Ellis said:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;<em>Demand for internet capacity keeps soaring, and we\u2019re now reaching the point where it\u2019s increasingly difficult to stay ahead of that demand using current approaches. It\u2019s incredible we\u2019ve managed to stay ahead this long, but now researchers are finding they just cannot fit much more data down traditional fibre optic lines.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Soon, unless we increase costs by deploying more fibres, we may need radical changes to the way we either use or distribute data if we are to overcome this capacity crunch. We should start having the conversation now \u2013 are consumers willing to accept higher charges for increased bandwidth or can we be more considered about the capacity we consume? Will we lay additional cables, or will we look to the likes of Netflix to help us manage demand?<\/em>&#8220;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Suffice to say that comments like this have consistently cropped up ever since the days of dial-up. Somebody is always warning that the Internet can&#8217;t cope or will run out capacity, yet strangely it never quite happens. Well not so strangely, perhaps.<\/p>\n<p>In reality the industry usually adjusts through a mix of innovation and or spending on the construction of new international fibre optic cable links (e.g. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2015\/08\/new-53tbps-uk-to-usa-transatlantic-fibre-optic-cable-nearly-complete.html\" target=\"_blank\">this one<\/a>). Granted we haven&#8217;t seen as many of these links being built in recent years, but that&#8217;s largely because scientific innovation has found new ways to push more data down existing cables.<\/p>\n<p>Going forwards there\u00a0is still a fair bit of additional innovation to come\u00a0that should continue to add improvements to existing cables and if the time comes when we need more physical connections, which it almost certainly will, then no doubt somebody will build them because the demand will exist to pay for it.<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime Professor Ellis will be warning the world about this impending crunch as part of <em>Lightfest 2015<\/em>, which is being held on Friday <strong>25th September 2015<\/strong> at the <strong>Library of Birmingham<\/strong>. But you\u00a0really need not worry.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Professor Andrew Ellis of Aston University\u2019s School of Engineering and Applied Science has once again warned that the Internet &#8220;could be on the brink &#8230; of a capacity crunch&#8220;, which might force ISPs to throttle your broadband and it could happen within the next 8 years. Best get that tinfoil hat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[52,477],"class_list":["post-10177","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uk_isp_news","tag-fibre-optic","tag-science"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>&quot;Danger Will Robinson&quot; - Internet Capacity Crunch in 8 Years Time - ISPreview UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Professor Andrew Ellis of Aston University\u2019s School of Engineering and Applied Science has once again warned that the Internet &quot;could be on the brink ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2015\/09\/danger-will-robinson-internet-capacity-crunch-in-8-years-time.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"&quot;Danger Will Robinson&quot; - Internet Capacity Crunch in 8 Years Time - ISPreview UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Professor Andrew Ellis of Aston University\u2019s School of Engineering and Applied Science has once again warned that the Internet &quot;could be on the brink ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2015\/09\/danger-will-robinson-internet-capacity-crunch-in-8-years-time.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ISPreview UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ispreview\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ispreview\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-09-21T10:38:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2015-09-21T13:23:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/ispreview_uk_logo.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Mark Jackson\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ispreview\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ispreview\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Mark Jackson\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ispreview.co.uk\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/09\\\/danger-will-robinson-internet-capacity-crunch-in-8-years-time.html#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ispreview.co.uk\\\/index.php\\\/2015\\\/09\\\/danger-will-robinson-internet-capacity-crunch-in-8-years-time.html\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Mark Jackson\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ispreview.co.uk\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/de66a8b4e937c21c80e443d1bf9c35d5\"},\"headline\":\"&#8220;Danger Will Robinson&#8221; 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