{"id":26559,"date":"2021-04-14T09:01:02","date_gmt":"2021-04-14T08:01:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/?p=26559"},"modified":"2021-04-14T09:06:38","modified_gmt":"2021-04-14T08:06:38","slug":"cma-provisionally-clears-virgin-media-uk-and-o2-to-merge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2021\/04\/cma-provisionally-clears-virgin-media-uk-and-o2-to-merge.html","title":{"rendered":"CMA Provisionally Clears Virgin Media UK and O2 to Merge"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The UK <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/government\/organisations\/competition-and-markets-authority\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Competition and Markets Authority<\/a> has today &#8220;<em>provisionally<\/em>&#8221; cleared the proposed \u00a331bn (total enterprise value) mega merger between broadband provider <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/vm\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Virgin Media<\/a> (Liberty Global) and mobile operator <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/o2uk\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">O2<\/a> (Telefonica), which will light the fuse on a major \u00a310bn project to extend &#8220;<em>full fibre<\/em>&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/fttp\">FTTP<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/5g\">5G<\/a> mobile services.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The CMA had previously raised some competition concerns about the new 50-50 joint venture (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2021\/02\/sky-and-vodafone-air-competition-fears-of-virgin-media-and-o2-merger.html\">here<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2021\/01\/cma-probe-fears-higher-prices-after-o2-and-virgin-media-merger.html\">here<\/a>). Key issues reflected concerns over the risk of higher prices for consumers, as well as any anti-competitive impacts upon the wholesale focused <strong> Mobile Virtual Network Operator<\/strong> (MVNO) market and the market for business leased lines (e.g. those used to supply capacity to mobile operators \/ masts).<\/p>\n<p>Despite this the merged company had always positioned their deal as being &#8220;<em>pro-competitive<\/em>&#8221; and a similar merger between <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/britishtelecom\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">BT<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/eebroadband\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">EE<\/a> was able to sail through the CMA&#8217;s process without causing any big problems. In theory, there shouldn&#8217;t have been too many obstacles to the deal since both operators\u2019 largely focus on different parts of the UK telecoms market.<\/p>\n<p>In the end the CMA has provisionally concluded that &#8220;<em>the deal is unlikely to lead to any substantial lessening of competition in relation to the supply of wholesale services<\/em>&#8221; and they gave several reasons for this.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #339966;\"><strong>Reasons for the CMA&#8217;s Provisional Approval<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u27a4 Backhaul costs are only a relatively small element of rival mobile companies\u2019 overall costs, so it is unlikely that Virgin would be able to raise backhaul costs in a way that would lead to higher charges for consumers.<\/p>\n<p>\u27a4 There are other players in the market offering the same leased-line services, including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/openreach\" target=\"_blank\">Openreach<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/britishtelecom\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">BT<\/a>) &#8211; which has a much greater geographical reach than Virgin &#8211; and other smaller providers. This means the merged company will still need to maintain the competitiveness of its service or risk losing wholesale custom.<\/p>\n<p>\u27a4 As with leased-line services, there are a number of other companies that provide mobile networks for telecoms firms to use, meaning <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/o2uk\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">O2<\/a> will need to keep its service competitive with its wholesale rivals in order to maintain this business.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #339966;\"><strong>What comes next?<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The combined business has already proposed to invest a further <strong>\u00a310bn<\/strong> into the UK by 2025\/26 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2020\/10\/virgin-media-uk-target-1gb-broadband-for-8-million-more-homes.html\">here<\/a>). The money would be used to help acceleration the deployment of ultrafast <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/5g\">5G<\/a> mobile (mobile broadband) and to expand their gigabit-capable home broadband network (via <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/docsis\">DOCSIS<\/a> 3.1) to reach an extra 1 million premises &#8220;<em>within 12 months of the merger closing<\/em>&#8221; (total of 16 million).<\/p>\n<p>On top of that the merged company has also previously spoken of their &#8220;<em>ambition to accelerate investments<\/em>&#8221; and connect a further<strong> 7 million homes<\/strong> to their gigabit broadband network &#8220;<em>in the coming years<\/em>.&#8221; Such a major network extension, using <strong>Fibre-to-the-Premises<\/strong> (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/fttp\">FTTP<\/a>) technology, would see them move into many smaller towns and villages.<\/p>\n<div class=\"responsive-container\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"National Connectivity Champion UK Pledges\" src=\"https:\/\/player.vimeo.com\/video\/452293035?dnt=1&amp;app_id=122963\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"autoplay; fullscreen; picture-in-picture; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>One complication to all this is the fact that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/vm\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Virgin Media<\/a>&#8217;s mobile division (Virgin Mobile) was already in the process of moving their MVNO base away from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/eebroadband\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">EE<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/britishtelecom\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">BT<\/a>) and on to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/vodafoneuk\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Vodafone<\/a>&#8217;s platform (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2021\/01\/virgin-medias-5g-mobile-starts-going-live-via-vodafone-uk.html\">here<\/a>). The MVNO deal with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/vodafoneuk\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Vodafone<\/a> is expected to run for 5 years, which means that they won&#8217;t be able to fully converge their fixed line and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/o2uk\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">O2<\/a> based mobile networks for quite a long time.<\/p>\n<p>In fairness, it often takes a few years to fully develop the necessary products and integrations to make the best use of fully owning two different physical network platforms &#8211; just ask <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/eebroadband\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">EE<\/a> and BT about it. Plus, in a few years\u2019 time, customers of Virgin Mobile will probably find that they have to endure yet another awkward SIM swapping exercise and those always cause some headaches.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"bq1\"><p><strong>Martin Coleman, CMA Panel Inquiry Chair, said:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Given the impact this deal could have in the UK, we needed to scrutinise this merger closely.<\/p>\n<p>A thorough analysis of the evidence gathered during our phase 2 investigation has shown that the deal is unlikely to lead to higher prices or a reduced quality of mobile services \u2013 meaning customers should continue to benefit from strong competition.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Otherwise, the joint venture is expected to deliver substantial synergies valued at more than \u00a36 billion on a net present value basis after integration costs and will create a nationwide integrated communications provider with \u00a311 billion of revenue.<\/p>\n<p>Going forward we strongly expect the merged business to launch a wholesale solution for fixed line UK ISPs (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2021\/04\/hints-of-virgin-media-uk-wholesale-in-liberty-property-request.html\">here<\/a>), which would place them into direct competition with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/openreach\" target=\"_blank\">Openreach<\/a> (BT). Such a change would represent a seismic shift in the UK broadband market and give <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/vm\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Virgin Media<\/a>\u2019s network a new lease of life for future support and upgrades.<\/p>\n<p>We note that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/openreach\" target=\"_blank\">Openreach<\/a>&#8217;s (BT) rival gigabit-capable <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/fttp\">FTTP<\/a> network is currently only available to 4.5 million premises, while Virgin Media&#8217;s mix of gigabit-capable Hybrid Fibre Coax (HFC) and FTTP &#8211; both harnessing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/docsis\">DOCSIS<\/a> 3.1 technology &#8211; can already cover more than 15 million premises (Openreach won&#8217;t reach that level until the mid to late 2020s).<\/p>\n<p>The CMA has now invited any interested parties to respond to their provisional findings by 5pm on 5th May 2021, although we think that is highly unlikely to change the outcome.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The UK Competition and Markets Authority has today &#8220;provisionally&#8221; cleared the proposed \u00a331bn (total enterprise value) mega merger between broadband provider Virgin Media (Liberty Global) and mobile operator O2 (Telefonica), which will light the fuse on a major \u00a310bn project to extend &#8220;full fibre&#8221; FTTP and 5G mobile services.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22208,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,1645],"tags":[406,472,419,56,32,475],"class_list":["post-26559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uk_isp_news","category-key_uk_isp_industry_developments","tag-5g","tag-business","tag-docsis3-1","tag-fttp","tag-o2","tag-virgin-media"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - 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