{"id":31298,"date":"2022-06-13T11:17:58","date_gmt":"2022-06-13T10:17:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/?p=31298"},"modified":"2022-06-13T11:17:58","modified_gmt":"2022-06-13T10:17:58","slug":"openreach-hint-uk-fttc-broadband-installs-starting-to-shrink","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2022\/06\/openreach-hint-uk-fttc-broadband-installs-starting-to-shrink.html","title":{"rendered":"Openreach Hint UK FTTC Broadband Installs Starting to Shrink"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/openreach\" target=\"_blank\">Openreach<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/britishtelecom\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">BT<\/a>) has hinted that, for the first time, new installations of their hybrid Fibre-to-the-Cabinet (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/fttc\">FTTC<\/a> \/ <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/vdsl\">VDSL2<\/a>) broadband ISP lines may soon start to shrink, which would partly reflect the rising coverage of gigabit-capable Fibre-to-the-Premises (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/fttp\">FTTP<\/a>) technology.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The last official <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/britishtelecom\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">BT<\/a> Group results to the end of March 2022 noted that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/openreach\" target=\"_blank\">Openreach<\/a> had covered 29,045,000 UK premises with &#8220;<em>superfast broadband<\/em>&#8221; (usually 24Mbps+ or 30Mbps+) capable lines (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2022\/05\/bt-results-see-fttp-broadband-surge-to-7-2million-uk-premises.html\">here<\/a>), which is up from 28.96m in the previous quarter. The vast majority of that will have been achieved via their older hybrid copper and fibre <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/fttc\">FTTC<\/a> technology, which first started to be deployed in 2008.<\/p>\n<div class=\"bq2\"><strong>NOTE:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/openreach\" target=\"_blank\">Openreach<\/a> aim to reach 10 million <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/fttp\">FTTP<\/a> premises by March 2023 and then 25 million by Dec 2026 (80%+ of the UK) &#8211; some 6.2 million of those will be in rural and semi-rural areas (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/2021\/05\/openreach-boost-rural-fttp-broadband-build-to-6m-uk-premises.html\">here<\/a>). It is building at a rate of around 58,000 premises per week.<\/div>\n<p>By comparison, Openreach&#8217;s full fibre <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/fttp\">FTTP<\/a> service was reported to have covered 7.194m premises in March (up from 6.442m at the end of 2021), which also contributes to the &#8220;<em>superfast<\/em>&#8221; figure above. But most of that will also be overbuilding older <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/fttc\">FTTC<\/a> deployments, as is normal when working to replace an older technology.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of the total customer broadband connections, it was noted that 16.229m were taking an FTTC service (up from 16.094m) from any ISP and 1.771m were taking FTTP (up from 1.508m). Suffice to say that, at the time, FTTC connections were still showing growth and that&#8217;s despite the rising, albeit still somewhat smaller, reach of FTTP coverage.<\/p>\n<p>However, it was inevitable that FTTC, much like the pure copper line <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/adsl\">ADSL<\/a> technologies that came before it, would eventually reach a precipice from which it would start to fall. Now several readers have pointed us to a post by Black Sheep (a known Openreach\/<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/go\/britishtelecom\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">BT<\/a> worker) on the venerable <a href=\"https:\/\/forum.kitz.co.uk\/index.php\/topic,27055.0.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kitz forum<\/a>, which states that FTTC installations started to shrink earlier this month, which would mark the first time that has happened since 2008.<\/p>\n<p>Officially, the operator has so far declined to provide ISPreview.co.uk with the latest connections data to support the aforementioned claim (we&#8217;ll have to wait for their next results in late July 2022), but they did inform us that a &#8220;<em>decline in the FTTC base wouldn\u2019t be a surprise over the coming quarters<\/em>&#8220;. This reflects the fact that there can often be a bit of plateau before a persistent fall starts to really bed-in over time.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, it does appear as if the ageing technology is now reaching its peak. Consumers will instead be switching away to faster FTTP or Hybrid Fibre Coax (HFC) lines on Openreach or other networks and ISPs.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, the cost-of-living crisis and ongoing improvements to mobile broadband connectivity (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/4g\">4G<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/5g\">5G<\/a>) may also be causing a smaller proportion of users to scrap their fixed lines altogether. But we&#8217;ll have to wait awhile before <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ispreview.co.uk\/index.php\/link\/ofcom\" target=\"_blank\">Ofcom<\/a>&#8217;s data is updated to cover the mid to late 2022 period in order to test whether the usual trends in that area have changed &#8211; historically mobile-data dependent households have been a minority.<\/p>\n<p>As ever, there will also be a lot of consumers on FTTC lines who may not yet be aware that FTTP exists in their area, although the opposite doesn&#8217;t necessarily result in an instant upgrade. Take-up can be impacted by all sorts of factors, such as a lack of awareness about the availability of faster services, contentment with an existing package, fear about the loss of a traditional copper phone line or being stuck by to an existing contract etc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Openreach (BT) has hinted that, for the first time, new installations of their hybrid Fibre-to-the-Cabinet (FTTC \/ VDSL2) broadband ISP lines may soon start to shrink, which would partly reflect the rising coverage of gigabit-capable Fibre-to-the-Premises (FTTP) technology.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":27423,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[55,56,69],"class_list":["post-31298","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uk_isp_news","tag-fttc","tag-fttp","tag-bt-openreach"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - 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