Home
 » ISP News » 
Sponsored

FTTH Council Europe Forecasts Huge UK Fibre Broadband Growth

Thursday, December 3rd, 2020 (9:30 am) - Score 1,728
fibre optic uk network cable flay glowing 2020

The FTTH Council Europe has published their annual market forecast for the growth of “full fibre” (FTTP/B) broadband ISP networks, which finds that some countries are expected to see an “outstanding growth” in the number of homes passed in 2026 compared to 2019, such as Germany (+730%), the United Kingdom (+548%) and Italy (+218%).

At present a large number of UK network operators, such as Openreach (BT), Virgin Media, Cityfibre, Hyperoptic and many more (summary of build progress), are in the process of building Fibre-to-the-Premises (FTTP) infrastructure across the country. The deployment pace is also ramping-up, thanks to the market becoming more competitive, as well as greater support from the Government (e.g. a business rates holiday on new fibre, voucher schemes, gap funding etc.) and Ofcom’s regulatory changes (e.g. easier access to the incumbents existing cable ducts).

NOTE: 34% of the UK can already access a gigabit-capable (1000Mbps+) broadband service via both FTTP and DOCSIS 3.1 networks (here), although this drops to 17.85% when only looking at FTTP (up from 10.5% a year ago).

The Government’s new £5bn UK Gigabit Programme, which is focused on trying to identify and tackle the final 20% (aka – F20) of hardest to reach locations (up to 6 million premises) using an an “outside-in” approach to deployment (i.e. build out from rural areas first, rather than leaving them until last), is also set to further boost this effort by targeting 85%+ coverage of gigabit-capable networks by the end of 2025.

On the flip side it’s also true to say that the UK was some years late to the FTTP party and, as a result, we continue to have some of the lowest full fibre coverage in Europe (here). But the changes above mean that this picture is going through a rapid adjustment. Suffice to say, we might have been late to the party, but the council’s new forecast for growth – between now and 2026 – shows that we’re catching up extremely fast.

ftth_council_uk_eu_network_forecast_for_2026

At this point we should caveat that the council’s figures will be unable to accurately account for the level of predicted overbuild between rival networks, particularly in dense urban areas. On top of that they’ll no doubt be looking at the most optimistic or aspirational future deployment expectations from operators, which in some cases may not come to pass or will fall short.

In short, the council’s forecast for 2026 remains overly optimistic and should be taken with a pinch of salt, although we’ll get a better idea of progress over the next 2-3 years when the pace of build is expected to reach its peak. Nevertheless, the UK’s current upward trend is still very clear and nothing seems likely to change that for a while.

Otherwise the estimates plan for a massive surge to around 202 million homes passed for FTTP/B in 2026 in the EU27+UK (or 317m if looking at the EU39), which compares to just 26.2 million in 2012. The number of subscribers could also increase to around 148 million in 2026 for the EU27+UK and approximately 208 million for EU38+UK, while the FTTP/B take-up rate would reach 73.3% in 2026 (up from 23.4% in 2012).

Leave a Comment
6 Responses
  1. Avatar Graham Long says:

    Anybody can forecast but it takes knowledge and skills to deliver. As yesterday’s Westminster Hall debate on CDS shows, so long as we have incompetent outfits like CDS involved who have wasted 8 years on three failed procuremenbt attempts and have now failed to deliver on their fourth attempt to put supplier contracts in place by Nov 16, 2020, these UK forecasts must be taken with a mountain of salt!

    1. Avatar Fastman says:

      careful waht you wish for as you might just get what you wanted and then they didnt deliver it

  2. Avatar Buggerlugz says:

    Could have sworn I replied to this news article earlier……….

  3. Avatar Buggerlugz says:

    This is blatant advertising like “come install your FTTP in Britain! please!” not proper forecasting IMHO. How many of these have we seen lately?

  4. Avatar Steve Spearey says:

    Those that have shall have faster. Those that have not shall continue to have not.
    Thus is the way broadband works in this country. Nothing I have seen or experienced lately have changed anything.

  5. Avatar Jimbo says:

    Yes upgrade the faster lines even more but leave us with 4-7mbps lines in the indefinite loop of SOON™

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Comments RSS Feed

Javascript must be enabled to post (most browsers do this automatically)

Privacy Notice: Please note that news comments are anonymous, which means that we do NOT require you to enter any real personal details to post a message. By clicking to submit a post you agree to storing your comment content, display name, IP, email and / or website details in our database, for as long as the post remains live.

Only the submitted name and comment will be displayed in public, while the rest will be kept private (we will never share this outside of ISPreview, regardless of whether the data is real or fake). This comment system uses submitted IP, email and website address data to spot abuse and spammers. All data is transferred via an encrypted (https secure) session.

NOTE 1: Sometimes your comment might not appear immediately due to site cache (this is cleared every few hours) or it may be caught by automated moderation / anti-spam.

NOTE 2: Comments that break our rules, spam, troll or post via known fake IP/proxy servers may be blocked or removed.
Cheapest Superfast ISPs
  • Onestream £21.99 (*27.99)
    Speed 45Mbps, Unlimited
    Gift: None
  • NOW TV £22.00 (*40.00)
    Speed 36Mbps, Unlimited
    Gift: None
  • TalkTalk £22.00 (*29.95)
    Speed 38Mbps, Unlimited
    Gift: None
  • Hyperoptic £22.00
    Speed 50Mbps, Unlimited
    Gift: Promo Code: HYPERSALE
  • Plusnet £22.50 (*36.52)
    Speed 36Mbps, Unlimited
    Gift: £70 Reward Card
Large Availability | View All
Cheapest Ultrafast ISPs
  • Vodafone £25.00
    Speed: 100Mbps, Unlimited
    Gift: None
  • Hyperoptic £26.00 (*35.00)
    Speed: 150Mbps, Unlimited
    Gift: Promo Code: HYPERSALE
  • Virgin Media £26.99 (*44.00)
    Speed: 108Mbps, Unlimited
    Gift: None
  • TalkTalk £28.00 (*39.95)
    Speed: 145Mbps, Unlimited
    Gift: £14 for First 6 Months
  • Gigaclear £29.00 (*44.00)
    Speed: 100Mbps, Unlimited
    Gift: Promo Code: HELLO2021
Large Availability | View All
The Top 20 Category Tags
  1. FTTP (2975)
  2. BT (2852)
  3. FTTC (1824)
  4. Building Digital UK (1799)
  5. Politics (1744)
  6. Openreach (1688)
  7. Business (1507)
  8. FTTH (1347)
  9. Mobile Broadband (1311)
  10. Statistics (1297)
  11. 4G (1127)
  12. Fibre Optic (1098)
  13. Wireless Internet (1070)
  14. Ofcom Regulation (1053)
  15. Virgin Media (1047)
  16. EE (743)
  17. Vodafone (721)
  18. TalkTalk (700)
  19. Sky Broadband (694)
  20. 5G (596)
Promotion
Helpful ISP Guides and Tips
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
»
Sponsored

Copyright © 1999 to Present - ISPreview.co.uk - All Rights Reserved - Terms , Privacy and Cookie Policy , Links , Website Rules , Contact