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Prediction - No 100Mbps UK Broadband Until 2015
By: MarkJ - 13 March, 2008 (8:32 AM)

Ventura Team LLP has used Nielsen's Law to predict that the UK will not deploy truly next-generation 100Mbps broadband networks (Fibre To The Home FTTH etc.) until 2015:

The study by not-for-profit organisation Fibre to the Home (FttH) Council says high-speed services will reach early adopters in the UK 10 years after Sweden, five years after France and four after Poland.

The claim is based upon Nielsen's Law, a theory which states that connection speeds at the upper end of the broadband market will increase 50 per cent per year, multiplying 7.5 times after five years. Mainstream connections are forecast to lag two to three years behind the fastest connections.

However, Computing notes that the outlook may not be all doom and gloom; both Sweden and France have already surpassed their expected rate of take-up.


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