Posted: 12th Apr, 2011 By: MarkJ

Market intelligence firm
iSuppli (
IHS iSuppli) has predicted that the next generation (4G) of Mobile Broadband technology,
Long Term Evolution ( LTE ), will cause related global mobile operator infrastructure spending to spiral upwards from just £921 Million ($1.5bn) in 2010 to
£17.13 Billion ($27.9bn) by 2014 (107.5% CAGR).
LTE will allow UK mobile operators to offer peak internet
download speeds of between 100Mbps and 1Gbps (1024Mbps), although end-users will only see a small fraction of this (some predictions point to 8Mbps-30Mbps). By contrast the existing HSPA (3G) solutions offer download speeds of up to 14.4Mbps, although average performance tends to hover around the 1Mbps-3Mbps range.
Jagdish Rebello, Senior Director and Principal Snalyst for IHS, said:
"While this spending represents tremendous growth in next-generation wireless technology, carriers still will be required to support multiple air interface technologies simultaneously, as the migration to 4G and LTE will not happen overnight.
In most cases, carriers will need to offer 2.5G, 3.5G and 4G technologies in order to support all customers and roaming customers. As a result, semiconductor suppliers must focus on developing effective infrastructure solutions that not only meet the current needs of carriers but also achieve alignment with the 3G/3.5G technology migration paths of the carriers to 4G."
Further estimates suggest that by 2014 LTE will be home to
303.1 Million subscribers around the world. However, according to Ofcom's current timetable, much of the UK's related spectrum auction and release programme will not be completed until the very end of 2013.
In other words
the UK won't be able to experience the full benefit of LTE until 2014 and even then customers will
need to buy new hardware (USB Modems etc.) in order to take advantage of it. Some mobile operators, such as O2 UK, are also mooting a two tier solution for LTE where only certain services would benefit from the faster speeds (
here).